Security & Enterprise Networks Archives - Page 4 of 15

Since 2020, a change in network usage patterns has imposed new requirements on IT infrastructure. Enterprises, educational institutions, and governments have experienced a seismic shift in the way they operate. Some organizations now have an entirely remote workforce. Other businesses have hybrid models, with a variety of work-from-home and work-in-the-office permutations. Even companies with exclusively on-site employees have enabled new video applications. Videoconferencing improves employee efficiency but also swamps the network with traffic, exposing network performance problems.

Defining the Future of Campus Networks

Amidst these profound changes in work patterns, enterprises are renewing their strategic IT plans. Companies must ensure that investments in their communications infrastructure support their current work patterns–but also that they are on a path to meet their future needs. Luckily, while enterprises are focusing on understanding today’s requirements, IEEE committees are playing a foundational role in developing IT standards for the future.

The IEEE 802 standards committee is responsible for the evolution of local, metropolitan, and other area networks. They tend to work with the two lower layers of the OSI reference model (the Data Link and Physical layers) and refer to the IETF’s work to define the upper layers.

For example, the evolution of Wireless LAN protocols, as defined by the 802.11 WLAN working group, has been addressing organizations’ hunger for more wireless bandwidth in campus networks. With each successive 802.11 version, enhancements to modulation and coding schemes have increased spectral efficiency and lowered interference. Each WLAN standard has increased its maximum theoretical link rate, with Wi-Fi 7’s maximum rate over 75 times that of Wi-Fi 4, shown below.

However, the IEEE 802.11 organization focuses on more than increasing throughput. Made up of a multitude of discussion groups, study groups and more formal work groups, the IEEE is working to improve IoT (Internet of Things) functions, reliability, latency, power consumption and security of the LAN. All of these new capabilities should be considered by enterprises that are committed to transforming their networks.

Organizations Begin Their Network Transformations

To meet the dramatic shift in employee work behaviors, companies are rethinking the optimal use of office space. In its 2022 Occupancy Benchmarking Program, the CBRE (a global leader in commercial real estate services and investments), found that 87% of commercial real estate occupiers surveyed from across the world wanted to optimize their real estate portfolios. In the survey, real estate occupiers identified the need to invest in technology that integrated physical and virtual work experience.

Many different enterprise verticals are investing in IT infrastructure to meet new requirements. For instance:

Multinational banks with high volumes of video conference traffic.
Municipal Governments with wireless-first, smart city roadmaps.
Real estate owners and operators providing high-end WLAN coverage to their tenants in dense urban environments.
Universities transitioning to a Wi-Fi-only model for their students and staff and preparing for immersive learning by means of AR/VR applications.
Manufacturers interested in integrating WLAN in their operations, requiring low-latency and deterministic connectivity.
Retail operations revolutionizing processes such as self-checkout, inventory management and product labelling.

From our discussions with systems integrators, manufacturers, service providers and enterprises, we have identified five key trends that will reshape the enterprise LAN over the next three to five years.

1. A Wi-Fi First strategy

Prior to 2020, many IT departments worked with a standard metric of “number of Ethernet ports per desk”. For companies with employees working from home or in a hybrid model, this metric is no longer valid.

Wi-Fi first implies the deployment of low-density Access Points (APs) to provide connectivity in areas where there had previously been Ethernet ports, such as dorm rooms or low-density cubicles. Wi-Fi first can also involve covering common areas with high-density, high-performance APs to accommodate surges in traffic, such as in conference rooms or stadiums. Finally, a Wi-Fi first strategy often involves providing WLAN signals in new areas that had never had connectivity before; for example, urban centers, company patios, or school gymnasiums.

In addition to ensuring that the WLAN is delivering high bandwidth with low interference, an enterprise must ensure that the network backbone can support the traffic. Organizations’ strategic IT plans must include a provision for the growing bandwidth of WLAN uplink ports.

Most enterprise APs shipped today are equipped with a 1 Gbps port. However, APs supporting the latest standards are capable of higher data transfer rates; they can support 2.5 Gbps, 5 Gbps or even 10 Gbps interfaces. As Wi-Fi 7 is adopted in the market, we expect 10 Gbps ports to grow considerably, allowing higher bandwidth applications to operate in the LAN.

2. A Smarter Network Means Efficiency and Automation

With new demands on the network, organizations need a better understanding of how their facilities are being used. A wide range of applications and services are available to provide insights into meeting room occupancy, environmental readings, and the location of assets.

To enable these insights, enterprises are integrating more and more “things”, instead of just “people”, onto their LANs. The IoT can involve wired devices, such as security cameras and monitors for video conference rooms. The IoT can also rely on wireless devices, such as occupancy sensors, electronic labels, or environmental sensors.

Some devices, such as video cameras or VR headsets, can increase LAN traffic considerably. However, organizations also need to consider the growing need for Power over Ethernet (PoE) ports on their campus switches. These ports are required to deliver more power to high performance APs, as well as to devices such as cameras. We expect that the percentage of switch ports that support PoE will continue to rise as the demand for high-end devices grows.

In addition to feeding applications with data to improve enterprise efficiency, the next generation of campus technology allows for the automation of network management. AI-Ops refers to features that use advanced analytics to simplify network operations, helping to filter alarms, predict network performance issues, or even automatically suggest and apply fixes to network problems.

The head of IT of one organization with which we spoke was amazed that activating AI-Ops features in the campus LAN uncovered existing network configuration problems that were previously undetected; these problems had been affecting quality of service for years. In addition to improving the user experience, AI-Ops reduced the number of trouble tickets by 95%.

3. Emphasis on Sustainability

Enterprises concerned with the environment are analyzing every step in their value chains to eliminate waste, decrease dependence on non-renewable resources, and reduce power consumption.

Initiatives that environmentally conscious enterprises are taking in their LANs include:

Configuring Energy Efficient Ethernet (EEE) on switch ports, which moves ports to a low-power state when they are not carrying traffic.
Replacing high-capacity copper cable with fiber. Fiber-optic Ethernet cables can support 10 Gbps and higher, and they can withstand longer distances with lower losses.
Flattening the network hierarchy and reducing the number of switches in the network.
Purchasing equipment made of recycled materials and packaged in a sustainable manner.
Moving to commercial models (such as Campus Network as a Service) that incorporate the re-purposing of old IT equipment when it is replaced.

4. Low-Latency Communications

WLAN revenues generated from sales to manufacturing companies grew by more than $500 Million in 2022, an increase that exceeds the growth in any other vertical that we track. Industries that adopt wireless infrastructure for their industrial processes often need low-latency, deterministic communications.

In November 2018, the IEEE 802.11 Real Time Applications Topic Interest Group (RTA-TIG) published a report outlining the usage model and technical requirements of an array of real-time applications. The report cites a wide range of applications for industrial systems. Applications categorized as “Class B”̶ including AR/VR and remote Human-Machine Interaction ̶ had a latency bound requirement of between 10 and 1 ms, with “latency bound” defined as the worst-case one-way latency measured at the application layer.

Other verticals, apart from manufacturing, will also require low-latency capabilities. For instance, VR or AR applications relying on interactive video are relevant to logistics, education, and retail verticals.

As low-latency applications become more common, deploying Wi-Fi 7 will be an important initiative for enterprises. A study at Virginia Tech showed that Wi-Fi 7, with its inclusion of Multi Link Operations (MLO), lowers the latency of communications by allowing devices to operate in multiple bands simultaneously. Enterprises can also benefit from Wi-Fi 7’s ability to support a diversity of channel widths. By means of the judicious assignment of certain channels to latency-sensitive applications, enterprises will be able to lower the latency for the users who are most sensitive to this parameter.

In addition to upgrading to Wi-Fi 7, enterprises may further lower latency by investing in local computing infrastructure to avoid processing data from latency-sensitive applications in the cloud.

5. A Network That Prioritizes Experience

In its spring 2023 survey of office occupiers, CBRE determined that the average utilization rate of office space in Asia Pacific was 65% and, in North American and Europe, was below 60%. These low office utilization rates are the main reason that the quantity of video traffic on the LAN has exploded. Employees now take videoconferencing capabilities for granted, in their daily interactions with colleagues and with their customers.

The reliance on videoconference puts the spotlight on the network performance. A user of a popular videoconference application can require up to 3.3 Mbps of bandwidth for a meeting with 6 participants and content sharing. As the number of concurrent videoconferences grows, the bandwidth expands accordingly, and network congestion becomes apparent, impeding employees’ ability to communicate effectively. Now that doing business deals over videoconference is a regular occurrence, a dip in video quality can affect a company’s revenues.

To ensure that employees can rely on high-quality videoconferencing, enterprises are adding capacity to their networks, but they are also taking other approaches. IT departments are collecting data from end-user devices, videoconference applications, and the network operations platforms, and using Machine Learning to identify the source of network problems as well as for resolution suggestions. Networking equipment schedulers can also be enhanced to optimize video streams or to improve the performance for certain groups of users, for specific applications, or for special events. Enhancements to support the high bandwidth of today’s video applications will lay the groundwork for the next generation of applications using very high resolution and volumetric video.

Campus Networks Must be Ready to Support Future Applications

An organization’s strategic IT plan will cover the five themes discussed above to varying degrees, depending on the different use cases and priorities. The need to increase bandwidth will be a common element of all the plans.

Although 1 Gbps ports will remain the speed of the majority of campus switch ports shipped over the next few years, we predict the growth of higher-speed ports in the LAN. This push to higher capacity links, shown below, will be driven by the need to connect branch offices at high speeds, by the elevated traffic generated by campus applications, and by the deployment of Wi-Fi 7 APs.

To build an IT strategic plan that will stand the test of time, enterprises must consider that their network traffic patterns will evolve along will their mode of work operations, whether it be mainly work-from-home, hybrid, or fully on-premises. The IEEE has laid a foundation of next generation campus IT functionality to meet the objectives of an organization’s IT plan, such as providing higher visibility into the usage of resources, improving the efficiency of workers, and increasing the sustainability of operations. Underlying all requirements is the need for greater bandwidth to the branch, in the LAN, and directly to end users. By moving to 10 Gbps in the campus, enterprises are taking an important step in readying their network for the future.

Today, Microsoft’s identity and access group made numerous announcements about its Entra product family. The Entra name was introduced a year ago (May-2022) to bring together the long-standing and well-respected Azure Active Directory (AD) franchise with Microsoft’s cloud infrastructure entitlement management (CIEM) solution. While Azure AD kept its name a year ago, today, it was changed. Azure AD is now Microsoft Entra ID. The picture below summarizes the essential products part of today’s announcement.

For me, the critical announcement today was Microsoft’s introduction of its new SSE solution anchored to two new products, Microsoft Entra Internet Access and Microsoft Entra Private Access, and an existing one, Microsoft Defender for Cloud Apps.

Key takeaways and my opinions on Microsoft entry into the SSE space are:

Microsoft Entra Internet Access (EIA) provides SWG (secure web gateway) functionality.
Microsoft Entra Private Access (EPA) provides ZTNA (zero trust network access) capabilities.
Microsoft EIA is in public preview with limited functionality. It can only protect Microsoft 365 and Windows clients. General traffic protection, cloud firewall, threat protection, and support for other operating systems are slated for later this year.
Microsoft EPA is in public preview. No significant limitations were noted in today’s announcement.
Microsoft went out of its way to remain committed to supporting an open SSE ecosystem.
The naming scheme for Microsoft copies Zscaler’s naming scheme for equivalent products (Zscaler Internet Access [ZIA] and Zscaler Private Access [ZPA]). This is not the first time we have seen a vendor copy Zscaler’s product structure and naming. As they say, if you can’t fight them, join them.
CASB (cloud access security) requires a third Microsoft product, Microsoft Defender for Cloud App.
My SWOT analysis
- Strengths
  - - Unrivaled enterprise presence to facilitate awareness. Everyone knows who Microsoft is and generally enjoys substantial goodwill among its customer base. A large salesforce and partner ecosystem will open many doors.
    - Identity foundation. No other SSE vendor has the same identity vendor chops that Microsoft brings. SSE is identity-heavy, which Microsoft can exploit by owning the identity use cases end-to-end.
    - Azure Cloud. Most SSE vendors partner with cloud service providers like Microsoft Azure to stand up their SSE clouds. Whether cost models or the ability to exploit deeper integrations, the Entra team has a likely advantage.
- Weaknesses
  - - Severely late to market. Cisco, Palo Alto Networks, Symantec, and Zscaler have a multi-year start over Microsoft. Gaining momentum in a crowded market will take work.
    - No full SASE: SD-WAN still requires a third-party vendor. Single-vendor SASE vendors are gaining market traction.
    - CASB is still a separate product. Unclear how policy sets are defined, but from initial impressions, there will be no policy tie-ins with Microsoft Defender for Cloud App.
- Opportunities
  - - Costing model. Large enterprises that are strong Microsoft shops and take advantage of Microsoft’s Enterprise Licensing Agreement benefits could lead to significant uptake of Microsoft SSE solution.
    - Full SASE: Microsoft has strong networking chops that could facilitate servicing the full SASE opportunity, including networking and security.
- Threats
  - - Microsoft has a history of entering network security markets and then backing away. It tried entering the firewall market in the 2000s, then backed out, leaving customers stranded.
    - Rate of feature richness: Best-of-breed players likely will continue to drive faster innovation and feature richness.

Microsoft has several scheduled analyst briefings over the next month, including one focused on today’s SSE announcement in mid-August. We keenly await to hear more, but until then, please feel free to reach out with any questions.

Spring is time for renewal and we are fresh off some energizing discussions at vendor conferences by HPE Aruba, Juniper, and Extreme Networks. May is a great time to round up some of the major Wireless LAN (WLAN) vendor announcements of the first part of the year. We’re seeing four key themes emerging in manufacturers’ strategies and these trends will have impacts on the WLAN market and its evolution.

AI is everywhere – WLAN is no exception

Artificial Intelligence promises to solve some of the world’s most intractable problems, and the intractable problem in WLAN is network management complexity. Enterprise IT teams are struggling to solve bad coverage, interference, and congestion while at the same time, dealing with trouble tickets that are caused by application or WAN-level issues. When user experience is bad, it’s always the Wi-Fi that gets blamed.

Juniper Mist has led the market’s mindshare around AI-Ops and micro-services architectures for enterprise networking. Further enhancements to Mist were announced at Mobility Field Day, with Marvis (Juniper’s virtual assistant) now leveraging the summarization skills of ChatGPT. Juniper has also announced they will be gathering network and user feedback from Zoom’s videoconferencing application which will allow their AI engine to predict the quality of videoconferences that take place in the future.

Meanwhile, HPE has introduced the next generation of Aruba Central in Greenlake, with a whole new solar-system look. In their slick demo at Atmosphere, they highlighted the Time Travel feature that allows the IT team to rewind to the moment of a moment of network degradation and visualize the network metrics at exactly that moment.

High-end AI features tend to arrive first with the public cloud-managed solutions. In 4Q22, only 25% of the world’s units were shipped into public-cloud managed networks, giving them a premium feel and demonstrating that there is room to grow the market. These solutions generate the recurring revenue streams the vendors are chasing, with the added bonus of boosting margins.

AI-Ops is the next frontier of innovation in campus networking and manufacturers are hoping that the savings in enterprises’ IT expenses will be transferred to their bottom line. We are predicting the revenue from these features will continue to grow, and that pubic-managed WLAN solutions will make up over 40% of WLAN manufacturer revenues in 2027.

Wi-Fi 6E expands its foothold

Wi-Fi 6E APs have been slow to take hold in the market (for an explanation as to why this is, see Checking in on enterprise-class Wi-Fi 6E) with vendors such as Extreme, HPE Aruba and Cambium leading the pack in Wi-Fi 6E adoption. However, in the first part of the year, there have been some announcements that will help accelerate 6E take-up.

Commscope Ruckus kicked off the year by announcing a new 2×2 Wi-Fi 6E AP (the R560) aimed at the MDU market. Then, a couple of weeks ago, Arista presented the C330 AP, a 2×2 product that will be available in June. In their Atmosphere conference, HPE pointed to the 615 AP as their affordable 6E option and promised a new 6E AP to come for the hospitality segment. Juniper then introduced the AP24, a lower cost, 2×2 product. Finally, at their conference in Berlin, Extreme Networks revealed the availability of the AP3000, claiming it to be the world’s smallest and greenest Wi-Fi 6E AP.

The introduction of more Wi-Fi 6E 2×2 products will help to bring the average price down, which until now has remained higher than historical precedents set by WLAN technologies. However, we are predicting that the life-cycle of the protocol will be shorter than previous technologies. While some major vendors point out that Wi-Fi 7 standards have not yet been ratified by the IEEE, manufacturers in China are already shipping low volumes of Wi-Fi 7 enterprise-class APs, and Ruckus has revealed that the company is working on a Wi-Fi 7 / cellular combination product. Dell’Oro group is predicting that Wi-Fi 6E shipments will hit their peak in 2024 as the new 802.11be (Wi-Fi 7) APs gain traction.

Network Access Control moves to the Cloud

The Network Access Control market is dominated by Cisco ISE and Aruba ClearPass. Last year, Juniper made a move to shore up this leak in its portfolio by acquiring WiteSand, a startup focusing on cloud-native zero-trust Access Control solutions. Arista has made no secrets of its ambitions in enterprise networking sector, and at the end of April, the company announced Agni, its cloud-based NAC, expected in the second quarter. Tellingly, Arista has put effort into ensuring that a customer can easily migrate from an existing NAC system, such as ClearPass. At the end of April, Extreme Networks CEO, Ed Meyercord, let it slip on their earnings call that Extreme would also be “cloudifying” their NAC solution, with an official announcement to come.

The Network Access Control market is small, but these recent vendor announcements demonstrate that placing this function in the cloud is a strategic move to lock up WLAN and campus switching revenues. These are wise choices as we approach what Dell’Oro Group is predicting will be a difficult 2024. We expect campus networking revenues will contract as the market digests the tsunami of orders that have been tangled in backlogs. Vendors will be looking for all the enterprise stickiness they can get.

Campus NaaS broadens its appeal

The Campus NaaS market is emergent and messy, giving ample opportunity for new players to differentiate themselves. We’ve already discussed a framework for the types offers available, showing that new entrants like Shasta Cloud, Meter, Nile, and Ramen Inc have thrown down the gauntlet to incumbents (Dell’Oro Campus NaaS & Public Cloud-Managed LAN Advance Research Report) –but the Camps NaaS market just became even busier.

HPE Aruba announced Agile NaaS at Atmosphere, touting that the standardized NaaS SKUs will enable their MSP partners to sell 75 cents on the dollar of additional services. In Extreme Network’s April earnings call, CEO Ed Meyercord announced investing in R&D to package a solution that will simplify MSPs’ delivery of managed services. Our confidential discussions with several vendors confirm that there is a wide interest in this type of offer, with new announcements on the horizon.

Different service providers mean different things when they sell Campus NaaS; however, one common element is the generation of recurring, high-margin revenues. The size of the dent that new offers will make in the market, and the likelihood they can create new revenue streams, are two market uncertainties that are playing out at this very moment.

With these four key trends in the WLAN industry, manufacturers are increasing both the depth and breadth of their offers, enhancing their technological and commercial appeal. The WLAN industry has seen record growth over the past two years. As we enter a more challenging market environment, manufacturers will need improvements such as these to maintain their customer base while they turn their sites to expand to new markets.

But Market Growth is at Risk Due to Service Confusion

In 1880, Thomas Edison said “We will make electricity so cheap that only the rich will burn candles” and today, no enterprise can operate without power. Since the upheaval of a global pandemic, IT manufacturers are seeing Edison’s promise in a new light: converting Wireless LAN into a utility will accelerate enterprise productivity. Along the way, manufacturers stand to gain a steady stream of high-margin, recurring revenue.

Manufacturers of Campus LAN equipment (enterprise-class WLAN and Switching) generated $29B of revenue in 2022 with an anticipated 5-year CAGR of 2%. New entrants believe the market is ripe for an innovative service offer and incumbents are looking to accelerate market growth.

The Vision is Compelling, but its Instantiation Remains Unclear

Industry visionaries have therefore married the vision of “Wi-Fi as a utility” with the cloud-enabled “As-a-Service” (aaS) technology abstraction to create a compelling proposition – but it is rare to find two manufacturers who describe the service in the same way. With each variation having different commercial, financial, and technological implications, it’s a complex landscape for IT departments to navigate.

And so, the killer question remains unanswered: Will the Enterprise Campus NaaS opportunity succeed in expanding the campus network market? Or will it be relegated to a differentiating feature of existing solutions, fueling competition without growing demand?

New entrants to the Enterprise Campus NaaS market believe the former proposition is true. They have developed cutting-edge technology and innovative commercial strategies to meet enterprises’ needs. Meanwhile, incumbent vendors’ are positioning services that have deep feature sets, well-developed channels, and strong brand awareness.

A common framework for defining Enterprise Campus NaaS is critical for manufacturers to quantify the market opportunity and hone their strategies. For the service to flourish, their customers’ IT departments must be able to understand and compare the available services.

Defining the Cloud Consumption Model in a Campus Context

The three words “As A Service”, or aaS, have become synonymous with the cloud computing model. The aaS extension is appended to different words (e.g. Infrastructure, Platform, Software) to denote different levels of technology abstraction. When applied to campus network IT, the cloud consumption mode is often called NaaS, or Network As-a-Service. This term lends confusion as it can also denote Wide Area Network services.

Since terminology matters when new markets are being developed, we define Enterprise Campus NaaS as the delivery of campus connectivity at Layer 2 and Layer 3 of the OSI model (such as WLAN and switching) within the premises of an enterprise or organization by means of a service that adheres –at least partially– to the cloud consumption model.

To provide a common framework for comparing the offers on the market, we define the four key parameters of the cloud consumption model below and explore how these can be instantiated in campus networks.

Cloud Consumption Services Are Outcome-Oriented

With an outcome-oriented service, an enterprise no longer purchases technology. Instead, it purchases a service based on a result it expects to attain. For example, the Open Data Center Alliance has defined IaaS outcomes such as millions of IO operations, or GBs of disk capacity.

In a campus networking environment, an enterprise could purchase a solution defined by a consistent Wi-Fi signal level over a given area or a minimum download speed for a specified number of devices. However, due to the complexity of these models, many Enterprise Campus NaaS providers opt to structure their service around the underlying technology, charging a fee based on the number of APs or ports.

A truly outcome-based Enterprise Campus NaaS must be accompanied by an enforceable Service Level Agreement, which remains another impediment. Manufacturers are well aware of the challenges and costs associated with implementing SLAs.

The Cloud Consumption Model is Elastic

An elastic “aaS” offer appears infinite. The purchaser of PaaS is not bound by the fixed dimensions of a server or hard drive; the service provider ensures the capacity and desired reliability are available.

For a university whose students have just discovered the latest bandwidth-hogging application, an elastic Enterprise Campus NaaS would absorb the unexpected traffic peaks with no costly design changes or additional hardware.

However, the tight coupling between WLAN hardware and its physical installation represents a challenge for service providers. Some of the offers on the market are designed to have a certain elastic nature, but their upper limits will remain constrained by the on-premises hardware installed.

Cloud Consumption Services have a Recurring Price Structure

In its simplest form, Enterprise Campus NaaS, is priced with a subscription fee: a conversion of capital cost (of APs and switches) to a recurring, operational expense.

This can be attractive for a distributed retail operation opening a new store, whose large, up-front cost of the network infrastructure disappears. The new location would increase the company’s IT bill in the same proportion as existing locations, simplifying cost attribution and recovery. In these types of service offers, the cost of financing the hardware is often blended into the monthly price.

For “aaS” offers that are also elastic and outcome-oriented, another commercial structure becomes a possibility: consumption-based pricing. With this model, a university network that benefited from an Enterprise Campus NaaS would have hardware in place for near-infinite usage, but the monthly bill would dip down in the quiet summer months.

Given the large cost of network hardware on premise, manufacturers may find it difficult to charge true consumption-based pricing. Enterprises will have to commit to prescribed contract lengths or minimum monthly charges, even if the service price varies somewhat according to usage.

Cloud Consumption Services are Maintenance-Free

Whether it’s IaaS, PaaS, or SaaS, hardware maintenance is performed by the service provider. For Enterprise Campus NaaS, maintenance, or life-cycle, services are the blurriest of the cloud consumption parameters.

Traditionally, campus IT manufacturers have shied away from delivering ongoing life-cycle services, avoiding direct competition with MSPs, their valued channel partners. However, last year Home Depot announced it was outsourcing portions of its campus network operations to HPE, whose executives have been emphasizing the long-term profitability of “aaS” offers. In contrast, Juniper Mist and Cambium Network’s Enterprise Campus NaaS announcements focus on enabling their channel partners.

Whereas new entrant Shasta Cloud is promising to revolutionize the way MSPs deliver Enterprise Campus NaaS to their clients, startups Nile and Meter are focused on delivering the full gamut of life-cycle services directly, as well as via channel partners.

The most difficult phase of the technology life-cycle to include in Enterprise Campus NaaS is the hardware end-of-life. A truly “evergreen” service, would include hardware upgrades as the 802.11 standards evolve –without an enterprise paying for them outright– but Enterprise Campus NaaS is still too new to have put this phase to the test.

Related Blog: The Role of Ethernet in Wi-Fi as a Utility (written by David Rodgers, EXFO; published by Ethernet Alliance)

How is the industry positioning Enterprise Campus NaaS?

Over the past 6 months, we have interviewed over a dozen industry participants who have commercialized, or are planning on commercializing, some type of Enterprise Campus NaaS. A minority of the services met all of the cloud consumption characteristics. However, all of the services met at least one criteria, with subscription-based pricing being the most popular. Fewer than a third of the Enterprise Campus NaaS offers had some form of elasticity or contained an evergreen provision to upgrade hardware at no additional cost.

With industry players approaching Enterprise Campus NaaS from different angles, it follows that their commercial strategies vary, with a focus on different customer verticals, segments and channels. However, there are three broad categories of Enterprise Campus NaaS that are beginning to emerge. As the market matures we expect to see vendor strategies consolidate according to which of the three types of Enterprise Campus NaaS they envision: Enabler, Turnkey, or Wi-Fi as a Utility, as depicted below.

Those who are navigating the complex Enterprise Campus NaaS landscape can look to history, at the evolution of the electrical power grid. Thomas Edison chose to back a power distribution system based on Direct Current —convinced that Alternating Current transmission systems were too dangerous to the public. The competing models battled it out for over a decade before Edison Electric merged to form General Electric, and AC distribution became the worldwide standard.

Enterprise Campus NaaS brings the allure of easy-to-manage, ubiquitous WLAN at a time when businesses depend on wireless connectivity more than ever. However, to effectively market the service, the industry needs to converge on some common definitions. Once that happens, enterprises will be able to take their Wi-Fi coverage for granted, thinking about it as much as they think about electricity — about once a quarter, when they pay their bill.

More information on the different approaches to Enterprise Campus NaaS and a quantitative analysis of the market will be included in the advanced research report entitled Campus NaaS and Public Cloud-Managed LAN, to be released in June 2023.

Related Blog: The Role of Ethernet in Wi-Fi as a Utility (written by David Rodgers, EXFO; published by Ethernet Alliance)

Happy New Year! Right before the holidays, we published our 3Q22 reports which provided a good overview of the market performance for the first nine months of 2022. Based on those results and while vendors have not reported their 4Q results yet, the Campus Switch market is estimated to have achieved a stellar double-digit growth, reaching a record-revenue level in 2022.

Now the big question is what’s next and what does that mean for 2023 performance? Should we expect a market pull-back, especially in light of rising macroeconomic uncertainties? And what other trends should we watch in 2023?

1) Market Performance to Remain Healthy in 2023

Despite the remarkable performance in 2022 resulting in a tough comparison for sales in the new year, we project that the Campus Switch market will continue to grow in 2023. Our optimism is underpinned by the healthy backlog witnessed in the market. On the latest earnings calls, almost every switch vendor reported near record-level backlog and most did not expect a return to normal in the next several quarters. As the supply situation continues to improve in the first half of 2023, it will help fulfill this backlog, providing a cushion for market sales not to crash, even when booking growth rates start to moderate. Furthermore, this backlog will be priced at a premium compared to what has been shipped in 2022, as explained later in this blog.

However, as we head into the second half of 2023, we believe that improvement in the supply situation, combined with macroeconomic challenges, will put a break on the panic-purchasing behavior that led to the extraordinary levels of backlog recorded so far in the market. We, therefore, expect a significant slowdown in bookings, followed shortly thereafter by a slowdown in revenue, as most of the backlog will have been fulfilled during the first half of the year.

2) Market Prices May Finally Start to Rise

As you know, almost every vendor had to increase its list prices by an average of 10-15% as a way to protect margin by passing some of the increased supply-related costs to customers. However, those list price increase actions have not yet started to impact recognized revenues as most of the products that have been shipped in 2022 are from orders placed ahead of the list price increase. However, as supply improves and as this old backlog starts to get fulfilled in 2023, we expect the market to start to benefit from this list price increase, although it may partially be offset by regional, customer, and product mix dynamics.

3) Wide Discrepancy in Regional Performance

2023 is expected to be a wild and uncomfortable year from a geopolitical and macro perspective. The war in Europe, the global energy crisis and inflation are expected to put pressure on market demand and curb enterprises’ appetite for spending. However, we expect this slowdown in demand to be more severe in certain regions compared to others. For instance, we expect the slowdown to be more severe in Europe than in the U.S. Additionally, China will also be dealing with the increased rate of COVID infections following the end of the zero-Covid policy.

4) 2.5/5.0 Gbps Campus Switch Adoption to Accelerate

We predict 2.5/5.0 Gbps shipments to grow in excess of 50% in 2023, showing an accelerated growth rate compared to 2022. This accelerated ramp is a reflection of improved supply but also increased demand. We expect a higher portion of Wi-Fi 6E and Wi-Fi 7 Access points (APs) to ship with 2.5/5.0 Gbps uplinks and to drive the need for 2.5/5.0 Gbps switches. Additionally, as employees return to their offices, even on a part-time basis, network traffic will surge, requiring higher-speed Wi-Fi APs and switches. Last but not least, we expect this growth in 2.5/5.0 Gbps switch shipments to be diversified among a wide variety of vendors, unlike during the prior years when Cisco used to comprise well in excess of two-thirds of the shipments in the market.

5) Network-As-A-Service Offerings to Increase and Open the Door for Heated Competition in the Market

Perhaps one of the main questions we have been getting in 2022 and expect to persist in 2023 is around Network-As-A-Service (NAAS) offerings. What is the definition of NaaS? What does it include? What is the target market? How are vendors charging for it? What is the delivery model? How are the different responsibilities being divided to provision, maintain and operate the network?

Given the complexity of the matter, we felt the need to address all the questions above and even more in an advanced research report that is planned to be launched in 2023. Stay Tuned!

For more detailed views and insights on the campus switch market, please contact us at dgsales@delloro.com

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